Domestic &
Commercial Motor

Motor insurance at a crossroads

Australia’s motor insurance market is in a strong position, with the strength is being tested by a rapidly changing vehicle fleet, repair-cost pressures and shifting customer expectations. Watch Tom Moulder explore what is driving profitability now – and why insurers will need to adapt as EVs, advanced driver assistance technologies and market competition reshape the road ahead.

Commercial motor

FY2027 Outlook

Our forecasts for the year ahead

%
%
%

Change in GWP

Change in AWP

Net combined ratio

What’s driving these results?
These forecasts are underpinned by:
More competition between insurers
Softening reinsurance market
Absence of natural catastrophes in recent years
Release of COVID-19 business interruption provisions to decrease.

Domestic motor charts

Lower inflationary pressure and shifting driving patterns boost insurer profits

Please take care when looking at the Gross written premium chart as the APRA data was restated in the Jun26 release, so comparisons between average written premiums in 2025 and 2026 may not be valid.

Gross written premium

Reporting year ending 30 June

Net combined ratio

Reporting year ending 30 June

Year-on-year change in gross written premium

Reporting year ending 30 June

Gross loss ratio

Reporting year ending 30 June

Refer to About the data for the fine print; September 2023 quarter is excluded from 2024 figures. 

FY2027 Outlook

Our forecasts for the year ahead

%
%
%

Change in GWP

Change in AWP

Net combined ratio

What’s driving these results?
These forecasts are underpinned by:
More competition between insurers
Softening reinsurance market
Absence of natural catastrophes in recent years
Release of COVID-19 business interruption provisions to decrease.

Commercial motor charts

Lower inflationary pressure and shifting driving patterns boost insurer profits

Gross written premium

Reporting year ending 30 June

Net combined ratio

Reporting year ending 30 June

Year-on-year change in gross written premium

Reporting year ending 30 June

Gross loss ratio

Reporting year ending 30 June

Refer to About the data for the fine print; September 2023 quarter is excluded from 2024 figures. 

Our experts and contributors

Jonathan Cohen

Principal

Ross Simmonds

Director

Tom Moulder

Director

Andrew Song

Director

Dennis Lam

Director

Stephanie Liu

Manager

Vincent Tu

Director

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